Recent studies have shown results linking shifts in sunspot
frequency and
climate changes over thousands of years suggest that the past 18-year-long
period of flat global temperatures appear to be a prelude to a much longer cooling
cycle.
While causes behind these magnetic inconsistencies are
uncertain, observable connections between solar and Earth climate patterns are
clear. Reduced periods of sunspot activity correlate with cooler and very cold
periods, with higher incidences producing opposite effects.
If a leading theory regarding why this occurs is correct, a
weaker magnetic heliosphere surrounding our Solar System evidenced by low
sunspot activity permits more cosmic rays from deep space to enter Earth’s
protective magnetosphere and atmosphere. This increased flux of heavy
electrons— or “muons” — striking the atmosphere produces increased cloud cover,
in turn reflecting more solar radiation away from Earth and back to space.
Since none of this has anything to do with human-caused
atmospheric CO2 emissions, you can bet that the UN and its Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change are very cool on the theory and its chilling political
science implications. It follows that since both the Sun and climate began
changing billions of years before the Industrial Revolution, neither conditions
can be blamed on fossil-fueled smokestacks and SUVs.
Dr Fritz Vahrenhold |
A notable IPCC critic is Dr. Fritz Vahrenholt, a former
leader of Germany’s environmental movement who also headed the renewable energy
division of the country’s second largest utility company. He recently
co-authored a book with Dr. Fritz Sebastian Luning titled, The Cold Sun: Why
the Climate Disaster Won’t Happen. –
Dr. Vahrenholt expects the world to get cooler in the future
for three reasons: (1) we are or soon will be beginning on the downward flank
of the Sun’s Gleissberg and Suess cycles; (2) solar activity during the next
cycle may extend our current very weak one; and (3) ocean cycles will be in
cooling phases over the next decades as well.
A research team in Sweden which analyzed patterns of solar
activity at the end of the last Ice Age around 20,000 – 10,000 years ago
concluded that changes in solar activity and their influences on climate are
nothing new, especially on a regional level. An analysis of trace elements in
ice cores in Greenland and cave formations from China revealed that Sweden was
then covered by a thick ice sheet that stretched all the way down to northern
Germany.
Water contained in those frozen ice caps resulted in sea
levels which were more than 100 meters lower than at present.
Furthermore, the August 2014 study report’s co-author Dr.
Raimund Muscheler, a lecturer in Quaternary Geology at Lund University,
observes: “Reduced solar activity could lead to colder winters in Northern
Europe. This is because the Sun’s UV radiation affects the atmospheric
circulation. Interestingly, the same processes lead to warmer winters in
Greenland, with greater snowfall and more storms.”
While the Sun was abnormally active during the 20th
century, many scientists believe that this condition is now coming to an end.
Although the Royal Observatory of Belgium’s July average monthly sunspot count
increased slightly for the sixth straight month despite a rare mid-month
spotless day, solar Cycle 24 still remains to be the weakest in 100 years.
It is predicted that increased counts may continue for a few
more months before activity once again begins to fade. In fact, long-term
indicators suggest that the next sunspot cycle will be much weaker than this
one. If so, as with other extended periods of inactivity as occurred during
Cycles 3, 4, and 5 which marked the beginning of a “Dalton Minimum,” we can
expect the past 18 years of flat global temperatures to become significantly
cooler.
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